O mercado financeiro espera um crescimento maior da economia neste ano. A estimativa para a expansão do Produto Interno Bruto (PIB), a soma de todos os bens e serviços produzidos no país, subiu de 0,73% para 0,89% este ano, e de 2,58% para 2,60% para 2018. As informações são do boletim Focus, uma publicação divulgada no site do Banco Central (BC) todas as semanas, com projeções para os principais indicadores econômicos.

Na última sexta-feira (1º), o Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística (IBGE) informou que o PIB fechou o terceiro trimestre de 2017 com alta de 0,1% na comparação com o segundo trimestre. Nos nove meses do ano, o crescimento acumulado ficou em 0,6%, em relação a igual período de 2016.

Enquanto, o mercado financeiro aumentou a projeção de crescimento econômico, a estimativa para a inflação em 2017 caiu. A expectativa é que o Índice Nacional de Preços ao Consumidor Amplo (IPCA) termine o ano em 3,03%. A projeção anterior era 3,06%. Essa foi a segunda redução consecutiva.

Para 2018, a estimativa para o IPCA foi mantida em 4,02%. As projeções para 2017 e 2018 permanecem abaixo do centro da meta de 4,5%, que deve ser perseguida pelo BC. Essa meta tem ainda um intervalo de tolerância entre 3% e 6%.

Para alcançar a meta, o Banco Central usa como principal instrumento a taxa básica de juros, a Selic, atualmente em 7,5% ao ano. A expectativa do mercado financeiro é que a Selic caia para 7% ao ano, nesta semana, na última reunião do Comitê de Política Monetária (Copom) em 2017. Para o fim de 2018, a estimativa para a taxa segue em 7% ao ano.

Agência Brasil

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